Rabu, 25 Juli 2012

[B189.Ebook] Download Pharmacology Test Prep: 1500 USMLE-Style Questions & Answers, by Mario Babbini, Mary L. Thomas

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Pharmacology Test Prep: 1500 USMLE-Style Questions & Answers, by Mario Babbini, Mary L. Thomas

"This is one of the better sources of excellent, well-written USMLE-type questions for both faculty and students. I highly recommend it." -- Doody's Review

Pharmacology Test Prep is an outstanding collection of 1500 clinical multiple-choice questions written according to USMLE guidelines and classified by learning objective and difficulty. The questions and answers in this book cover all the areas that are included in topic-based and organ system-based courses in the first two years of medical school. This book provides medical students preparing to take the USMLE with a thorough review of pharmacology concepts and is an excellent review book for those needing to brush up on pharmacology for their rotations.


Key Features:



  • Questions require students to analyze information before choosing the best answer
  • Full explanations are included with answers, giving students a comprehensive USMLE review tool
  • Organized along clinical as well as pharmacological lines, making it suitable for both Step 1 and Step 2 exam preparation

  • Sales Rank: #295699 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-12-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.75" h x 8.25" w x 1.25" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 502 pages

From the Back Cover

"Pharmacology Test Prep" is an outstanding collection of 1500 clinical multiple-choice questions written according to USMLE guidelines and classified by learning objective and difficulty. The questions and answers in this book cover all the areas that are included in topic-based and organ system-based courses in the first two years of medical school. This book provides medical students preparing to take the USMLE with a thorough review of pharmacology concepts and is an excellent review book for those needing to brush up on pharmacology for their rotations.

Key Features: Questions require students to analyze information before choosing the best answer Full explanations are included with answers, giving students a comprehensive USMLE review toolOrganized along clinical as well as pharmacological lines, making it suitable for both Step 1 and Step 2 exam preparation

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Content seems okay, formatting is iffy.
By John Smith
I got this book to give as non-computer study resource to a friend about to take the USMLE. The idea was it should be easy to knock out 10 Qs a day in the morning or while sitting around without having to break out the laptop or get into UWorld or whatever; basically to make use of random bits of time that might otherwise be wasted. With the motive for purchase covered I'll give my impressions of the book itself and it's accompanying website - overall not bad, but by no means a necessary resource.
The layout of the questions and answers isn't very good, at least in my opinion. You have a few blocks of questions then some answers, then a few blocks of questions, then some answers, etc etc, and the whole process of trying to do a few questions at a time becomes and exercise in finding and then flipping to/ from pages. If someone were going to sit down and do 30-50 question blocks it might be okay, but then that is what online Q banks are for. It would've been nice if instead of (or in addition to) this format they would've put the answer keys in the back instead of scattered throughout. Barring that, at least print "tabs" on the pages so you can look at the book from the side and see where sections begin/ end. Each question is given an easy, medium or hard ranking, so that is kind of cool if your ego requires such things.
The website is a bit better in that it will show the answers to the side of the question you are doing (I like immediately knowing what I got right/ wrong when not simulating a test) but it is painfully slow. 5-15 second delays add up when you are talking about trying to do 1500 questions. A question and page number would be super useful for finding questions done online in the book, say if you were doing random sets and wanted to take notes about things. For example - suppose a question asks about a drug and has six listed as answer choices. You read the answer online but want to make notes about the 5 wrong choices in your book. Well, tough titties. If you don't want to do a lot of flipping around and searching you're just going to have to be content to read the answers in the book, answers which are somewhere in there but not where you can see both them and the question at the same time. Seeing both makes it easier to reinforce the clinical scenarios presented - again, IMO. Any time spent flipping pages is time wasted.
There are also many, many spelling and punctuation errors in both the book and online (and probably this review), and they get irritating after a while.
Ultimately though if you need help on your pharm this might be worth buying, but check out WaltonCo as it's about fifteen bucks less over there. I guess no matter what you are doing, as long as you are doing something it's better than doing nothing, and if you share that mindset then this is worth a shot. If you are after 100% yield 100% of the time it might not be the way to go.
A critical resource: No. A replacement for reading the cereal box at breakfast or a break from staring at a computer: Sure.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Good questions bad for Kindle.
By elizabeth
Great questions and really great explanations but the interface is kind of annoying. It would be nice to have the answers under the questions. I wanted to use this as a question bank to practice a few pharm questions when I have a little free time but its set up where you have a huge section of questions and the answers all at the end. A hard copy of this would be fine but that set up is pretty annoying on a Kindle.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent source of additional pharm questions
By Cyber Shopper
This has a wide variety of pharm questions that are based on clinical scenarios. It was well written with good explanations for both the correct answer and all the incorrect answers.

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Selasa, 24 Juli 2012

[L224.Ebook] Ebook The Amazing Mathematical Amusement Arcade, by Brian Bolt

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The Amazing Mathematical Amusement Arcade, by Brian Bolt

This collection of puzzles, games and activities is designed to stimulate and challenge people of all ages who enjoy puzzles with a mathematical flavour. Many of the puzzles have a long history, while others are original. The subjects vary from matchsticks to magic squares, train shunting to river crossing, and chess to calculators. The second part of the book contains a commentary giving hints and solutions.

  • Sales Rank: #1001353 in Books
  • Published on: 1984-10-26
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.69" h x .31" w x 7.44" l, .61 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 138 pages

Review
Over 100 puzzles, games and activities--on topics ranging from matchsticks to magic squares, shunting to river crossing, and chess to calculators. -- Book Description

From the Back Cover
This collection of puzzles, games and activities is designed to stimulate and challenge people of all ages who enjoy puzzles with a mathematical flavour. Many of the puzzles have a long history, while others are original. The subjects vary from matchsticks to magic squares, train shunting to river crossing, and chess to calculators. The second part of the book contains a commentary giving hints and solutions.

About the Author
fm.author_biographical_note1

Most helpful customer reviews

6 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Good for school math class projects and puzzles.
By A Customer
I keep seveal sets of different small books like this (in multiple copies) for my 9th grade math students when it comes time to do display projects and make vocal presentations. This one fits very well into the scheme when it comes to short items. Class is always attentive (more than to me!).
Well illustrated, big print, and 130 puzzles (with solutions in the rear) of which I easily suggest about 4 dozen for project use, and others for personal or small group amusement.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By DIYGirl
Great puzzles! Makes math fun!

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Sabtu, 21 Juli 2012

[R640.Ebook] Fee Download Data Structures and Algorithms: by Knowledge flow, by Knowledge flow

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1.Introduction to Data Structures and Algorithms
2.Data structure for string and pattern matching Algorithm
3.Arrays and Pointers
4.Linked Lists
5.Stacks and Queues
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8.Sort and Search
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  • Sales Rank: #496889 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-02-27
  • Released on: 2015-02-27
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
A simple yet great way to start learning data and algorithms
By Rizaldy Fernandez
One of the first thing a student on programming needs to do is to learn how a language logic flows. This book will be a great help for those students. No unnecessary chit chat, no techno babble, no alien like language, just pure and straightforward lesson. Coupled with diagrams and samples, this book is a sure fire way of learning.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Save your money
By DianeD.
Simply do your own google search. It seems like this whole book has been copy pasted from the internet.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
One Star
By Sebastian Pacheco
It's a really general introduction of datastructures. Was expecting somthing deeper

See all 3 customer reviews...

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Kamis, 19 Juli 2012

[L921.Ebook] PDF Ebook Analysis of Phylogenetics and Evolution with R (Use R!), by Emmanuel Paradis

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Analysis of Phylogenetics and Evolution with R (Use R!), by Emmanuel Paradis

The increasing availability of molecular and genetic databases coupled with the growing power of computers gives biologists opportunities to address new issues, such as the patterns of molecular evolution, and re-assess old ones, such as the role of adaptation in species diversification.

In the second edition, the book continues to integrate a wide variety of data analysis methods into a single and flexible interface: the R language. This open source language is available for a wide range of computer systems and has been adopted as a computational environment by many authors of statistical software. Adopting R as a main tool for phylogenetic analyses will ease the workflow in biologists' data analyses, ensure greater scientific repeatability, and enhance the exchange of ideas and methodological developments. The second edition is completed updated, covering the full gamut of R packages for this area that have been introduced  to the market since its previous publication five years ago. There is also  a new chapter on the simulation of evolutionary data. 

Graduate students and researchers in evolutionary biology can use this book as a reference for data analyses, whereas researchers in bioinformatics interested in evolutionary analyses will learn how to implement these methods in R. The book starts with a presentation of different R packages and gives a short introduction to R for phylogeneticists unfamiliar with this language. The basic phylogenetic topics are covered: manipulation of phylogenetic data, phylogeny estimation, tree drawing, phylogenetic comparative methods, and estimation of ancestral characters. The chapter on tree drawing uses R's powerful graphical environment. A section deals with the analysis of diversification with phylogenies, one of the author's favorite research topics. The last chapter is devoted to the development of phylogenetic methods with R and interfaces with other languages (C and C++). Some exercises conclude these chapters.

  • Sales Rank: #569761 in Books
  • Published on: 2011-11-05
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.25" h x .91" w x 6.10" l, 1.24 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 386 pages

From the Back Cover

The increasing availability of molecular and genetic databases coupled with the growing power of computers gives biologists opportunities to address new issues, such as the patterns of molecular evolution, and re-assess old ones, such as the role of adaptation in species diversification.

In the second edition, the book continues to integrate a wide variety of data analysis methods into a single and flexible interface: the R language. This open source language is available for a wide range of computer systems and has been adopted as a computational environment by many authors of statistical software. Adopting R as a main tool for phylogenetic analyses will ease the workflow in biologists' data analyses, ensure greater scientific repeatability, and enhance the exchange of ideas and methodological developments. The second edition is completely updated, covering the full gamut of R packages for this area that have been introduced  to the market since its previous publication five years ago. There is also  a new chapter on the simulation of evolutionary data. 

Graduate students and researchers in evolutionary biology can use this book as a reference for data analyses, whereas researchers in bioinformatics interested in evolutionary analyses will learn how to implement these methods in R. The book starts with a presentation of different R packages and gives a short introduction to R for phylogeneticists unfamiliar with this language. The basic phylogenetic topics are covered: manipulation of phylogenetic data, phylogeny estimation, tree drawing, phylogenetic comparative methods, and estimation of ancestral characters. The chapter on tree drawing uses R's powerful graphical environment. A section deals with the analysis of diversification with phylogenies, one of the author's favorite research topics. The last chapter is devoted to the development of phylogenetic methods with R and interfaces with other languages (C and C++). Some exercises conclude these chapters.

About the Author

Emmanuel Paradis is an evolutionary biologist at the Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD) in Montpellier and Jakarta. He received his Doctorate Diploma in population biology and ecology in 1993 at the University of Montpellier II. He has conducted empirical and theoretical research on birds, mammals, and fish. He worked at the British Trust for Ornithology for three years and at the Institut des Sciences de l'Évolution in Montpellier for seven years where he developed most of the ideas presented in this book. He is the main author and maintainer of the R packages APE (Analysis of Phylogenetics and Evolution) and PEGAS (Population and Evolutionary Genetics Analysis System).

Most helpful customer reviews

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
A must for anyone doing phylogenies
By jgolubov
This is the second edition of a book I really like. This new edition is much larger (twice) than the first and it answers many of the problems and new approaches that were left out or only partly explained in the first edition. Paradis has done a great job. For anyone working on phylogenetics this is THE BOOK. The book covers a wide range of topics from how to plot a phylogeny, to phylogeny estimation, inference and simulation all under the R framework. The coverage with the R examples is fantastic and clear, making extrapolation to your problem particularly relatively easy. Overall a book that must be applauded.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
A perfect book if you want to start learning R for phylogenetic analyses
By Laviejasirena
A perfect book if you want to start learning R for phylogenetic analyses. Well written, easy to use, and with examples to practice.

0 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Three Stars
By Jiang Z.
useful

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Sabtu, 14 Juli 2012

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Blue Hat, Green Hat (Boynton on Board), by Sandra Boynton

Three earnest animals and one misguided turkey learn colors and clothes in this Sandra Boynton classic.

Serious silliness for all ages. Artist Sandra Boynton is back and better than ever with completely redrawn versions of her multi-million selling board books. These whimsical and hilarious books, featuring nontraditional texts and her famous animal characters, have been printed on thick board pages, and are sure to educate and entertain children of all ages.

  • Sales Rank: #2669 in Books
  • Color: Yellow
  • Brand: Little Simon
  • Published on: 1984-10-11
  • Released on: 1984-10-11
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 5.75" h x .60" w x 5.75" l, .30 pounds
  • Binding: Board book
  • 14 pages
Features
  • Great product!

From the Publisher
Serious silliness for all ages. Artist Sandra Boynton is back and better than ever with completely redrawn versions of her multi-million selling board books. These whimsical and hilarious books, featuring nontraditional texts and her famous animal characters, have been printed on thick board pages, and are sure to educate and entertain children of all ages.

About the Author
Sandra Boynton is a popular American cartoonist, writer, children's author, and songwriter. Since 1974, Boynton has written and illustrated over forty children's books and seven general audience books, including four New York Times Bestsellers. More than 35 million of her books have been sold—"mostly to friends and family," she says. She has also written and produced five albums of award-winning children's music. Three of her albums have been certified Gold, and Philadelphia Chickens, nominated for a Grammy, is nearing Platinum. In 2008, she was awarded the Milton Caniff Lifetime Achievement Award by the National Cartoonists Society.

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68 of 71 people found the following review helpful.
Read to Your Child to Develop Bonding and Intellect!
By Donald Mitchell
Researchers constantly find that reading to children is valuable in a variety of ways, not least of which are instilling a love of reading and improved reading skills. With better parent-child bonding from reading, your child will also be more emotionally secure and able to relate better to others. Intellectual performance will expand as well. Spending time together watching television fails as a substitute.
To help other parents apply this advice, as a parent of four I consulted an expert, our youngest child, and asked her to share with me her favorite books that were read to her as a young child. Blue Hat, Green Hat was one of her picks.
Although ostensibly about colors, this book is subtly about much more. Clothes are put on an elephant, a bear, a moose, and a turkey. As you can imagine, putting clothes on a turkey is a challenge. So the turkey always has the clothes on in some strange way (shirt around tail feathers but not on legs, hat on the feet, pants around head and chest, socks on front feathers, coat on beak, etc.). That is a wonderful way to teach you child the word "oops" and to associate doing something unusual with fun. What a great preparation for mistakes later in life!
All of the pictures are pretty silly, so you will engage your child's sense of the ridiculous. For example, the elephant, bear and moose are standing on their hands when wearing colored pants.
For help with learning the colors, each sequence has the colors in a different order. That makes learning a greater challenge and more interesting.
By sticking with few colors and many situations, the task of learning is made manageable for the child. Since the story is short, it also matches a child's attention span.
Overcome your misconception stall that young children are not ready for humor and book learning!
Enjoy!

48 of 51 people found the following review helpful.
Guaranteed Belly Laughs!
By Wendy Kaplan
Well, the other animals seem to be able to put their clothes on (a task that takes quite a bit of early skill, as any parent or grandparent knows). But what about the poor rooster? Ooops! The poor thing just can't get it right.
This wonderful book is special on many levels. First of all, it tickles a toddler's funny bone like no other...listen to your child yell, "Ooops!" and break up laughing. Definitely a plus right there. Then, it subtly teaches colors (the blue hat is indeed blue, the green hat is indeed green, and so forth). And finally, it shows the child that it's OK to make mistakes, and that learning such a huge task as dressing oneself can be hard even for roosters!
Along with every other Boynton book I've ever seen, this one's a keeper.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
My 2 year old laughs out loud at this adorable book.
By AKH
Our 23 month old son LOVES this book. He laughs every time the hat is on the foot instead of the head and it says "OOPS!" This is an age appropriate book because our son loves to play around by putting hats and other things on his head. He loves different animals and making animal sounds when he sees them. And he is learning his colors and likes to point out and say the different colors of the hats. This is a great little board book that I'm so glad we bought, and I'd highly recommend it for toddlers!

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Jumat, 13 Juli 2012

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[(The International Dimensions of Internal Conflict )] [Author: Michael E. Brown] [Jul-1996], by Michael E. Brown

  • Published on: 1996-07-02
  • Binding: Paperback

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Kamis, 12 Juli 2012

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Samguk Yusa - Stories and Legends of the Three Kingdoms of Ancient Korea, by Ilyon

Not just a story but a collection of histories, anecdotes and memorabilia

A fascinating work, dating from the late 1200s. This book (Yusa), is not just a story but a collection of histories, anecdotes and memorabilia, covering the origins of Korea's three monarchies--Silla, Paekche and Koguryo, offering an account of the latter nation that differs quite a bit from what you'll read in Chinese history books. Translated by Professor Ha Tae-Hung of Yonsei University, with special help from Grafton Mintz.

  • Sales Rank: #593098 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-01-02
  • Released on: 2013-01-02
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Senin, 09 Juli 2012

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Persuasion: Social Influence and Compliance Gaining, 5e, by Robert H Gass, John S Seiter

Persuasion: Social Influence and Compliance Gaining first helps students understand established theories and models of persuasion.  It then encourages them to develop and apply general conclusions about persuasion in real-world settings.

The 5th edition explores how social media continues to be a form of influence, but it also looks at grassroots movements, such as the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street, and traditional forms of persuasion, such as advertising, marketing, and political campaigning.

  • Sales Rank: #19068 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Pearson
  • Published on: 2013-02-15
  • Released on: 2013-02-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .70" w x 7.30" l, 1.21 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 400 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

About the Author
Robert H. Gass, California State University, Fullerton
John S. Seiter, Utah State University

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Great text on persuasion
By Chad
Great insight, very useful for my persuasion class. This book has met my expectations so far. Really useful sources provided in this version.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
A good introductory text
By charlotte
A good introduction to the theoretical underpinnings of persuasion and the forms it can take, the types of people who are most susceptible to it, as well as its use in corporate language, advertising and PR. What I felt was missing was a roadmap of how one can be more influential in practical terms. That said, I still have a chapter or two left...

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
BEST TEXTBOOK I'VE READ YET!
By john
I had to read this book for a communications class at Regent University and it has been the most entertaining and informative textbooks I have yet to read. It's even one of the most entertaining books that I've read, PERIOD.

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Minggu, 08 Juli 2012

[O696.Ebook] Fee Download Stocks for the Long Run 5/E: The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns & Long-Term Investment Strategies, by Jeremy J. Siegel

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Stocks for the Long Run 5/E:  The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns & Long-Term Investment Strategies, by Jeremy J. Siegel

The stock-investing classic--UPDATED TO HELP YOU WIN IN TODAY'S CHAOTIC GLOBAL ECONOMY

Much has changed since the last edition of Stocks for the Long Run. The financial crisis, the deepest bear market since the Great Depression, and the continued growth of the emerging markets are just some of the contingencies directly affecting every portfolio in the world.

To help you navigate markets and make the best investment decisions, Jeremy Siegel has updated his bestselling guide to stock market investing.

This new edition of Stocks for the Long Run answers all the important questions of today: How did the crisis alter the fi nancial markets and the future of stock returns? What are the sources of long-term economic growth? How does the Fed really impact investing decisions? Should you hedge against currency instability?

Stocks for the Long Run, Fifth Edition, includes brand-new coverage of:

THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
Siegel provides an expert’s analysis of the most important factors behind the crisis; the state of current stability/instability of the financial system and where the stock market fits in; and the viability of value investing as a long-term strategy.

CHINA AND INDIA
The economies of these nations are more than one-third larger than they were before the 2008 financial crisis; you'll get the information you need to earn long-term profits in this new environment.

GLOBAL MARKETS
Learn all there is to know about the nature, size, and role of diversifi cation in today’s global economy; Siegel extends his projections of the global economy until the end of this century.

MARKET VALUATION
Can stocks still provide 6 to 7 percent per year after inflation? This edition forecasts future stock returns and shows how to determine whether the market is overvalued or not.

Essential reading for every investor and advisor who wants to fully understand the forces that move today's markets, Stocks for the Long Run provides the most complete summary available of historical trends that will help you develop a sound and profitable long-term portfolio.

PRAISE FOR STOCKS FOR THE LONG RUN:

“Jeremy Siegel is one of the great ones.” ―JIM CRAMER, CNBC’s Mad Money

“[Jeremy Siegel’s] contributions to finance and investing are of such signifi cance as to change the direction of the profession.” ―THE FINANCIAL ANALYST INSTITUTE

“A simply great book.” ―FORBES

“One of the top ten business books of the year.” ―BUSINESSWEEK

“Should command a central place on the desk of any ‘amateur’ investor or beginning professional.” ―BARRON’S

“Siegel’s case for stocks is unbridled and compelling.” ―USA TODAY

“A clearly written, neatly organized, highly persuasive exposition that lifts the veil of mystery from investing.” ―JOHN C. BOGLE, founder and former Chairman, The Vanguard Group

"A book that all investors―nervous Nellies in particular―should read." ―Investing.com

  • Sales Rank: #22560 in Books
  • Brand: Siegel, Jeremy J.
  • Published on: 2014-01-07
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.00" h x 8.00" w x 1.50" l, 1.94 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 448 pages

Review
"[A] heavily researched book that cites historic and contemporary sources to support [its] thesis, but it is accessible to the average person." Chicago Tribune 20140109

About the Author
Jeremy J. Siegel is a professor of finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. Professor Siegel received his Ph.D. from M.I.T. and taught for four years at the University of Chicago before joining the Wharton faculty in 1976. He has written and lectured extensively about the economy and financial markets, monetary policy and interest rates, and stock and bond returns. Along with heading the macroeconomics module of the Morgan Bank Finance Program in New York, he is the academic director of the U.S. Securities Industry Institute and is on the Advisory Board of the Asian Securities Industry Association. Professor Siegel is courted by nearly every Wall Street firm as a consultant and lecturer and has appeared on CNBC, PBS, Wall Street Week, and NPR.

Most helpful customer reviews

97 of 102 people found the following review helpful.
The One Best Book On Stocks Since Graham
By gary alan chamberlain
The basic theme throughout is simply that stock returns (in all developed nations, though at differing slopes, pp. 88-90) regress to a mean, as bonds, and all other investment alternatives, do not. That’s one point. By taking the long historical view (from the dawn of the American republic), Siegel also demonstrates (Chapter 6, pp. 93-103) that in this country over periods of five years and longer, real stock returns (after inflation) stray from our mean return (6.5%) less and less, until at thirty years the observed deviations are half what standard statistics expect. So stocks are both much more volatile short-term—cf. Mandelbrot and Hudson, The (mis)Behavior of Markets—and much less volatile long-term, than Modern Portfolio Theory says they should be. That’s point #2. And, his third crucial point, value strategies (Chapter 12, pp. 173-193, on low-P/E, high-dividend stocks) consistently surpass the market indices by 2% or more in annual compounded returns. I know of no other book which has made any one of these three points so clearly and demonstrated them so forcefully with historical data and mathematical analysis. Ben Graham, to be sure, made the case for value investing decades ago, and does a better job of understanding and presenting the process than anyone else before or since, but of course he couldn’t come close to the range and depth of modern databases and computing power to undergird his argument. Siegel has written the one book since Graham’s Intelligent Investor that everyone should read and re-read before presuming to buy any security other than an index fund.

So, for instance, I needed to know that stocks have never failed to offer a positive real return over any period of seventeen years or more. Long-term bonds, in contrast, since the Civil War have outperformed stocks in just one 30-year period (by a minuscule .05% per year!), as interest rates fell from 16% in late 1981 to 2% in 2011—but the real return on these “safe” investments was negative for the entire post-war period before that, and likely will be for years to come. And Siegel repeatedly makes the point that especially when we think about retirement the only safety that matters is the assurance of rising purchasing-power over spans of decades.

The book is not without its limitations. I don’t think Siegel understands options or other derivatives; his faulty discussion of stock index options in the 4th edition has been abbreviated, but his remaining remarks are misleading at best. Consequently the major new sections in this edition, which deal with the recent financial crisis, while fairly sound (e.g. showing how slight a role Fannie and Freddy played), understate the impact of synthetic credit default swaps, which by the time the fever broke had made the subprime mortgage market five times larger than the mess the bankers and mortgage brokers had created in the first place. Hence next to no one had any idea how immense the problem really was, though a few (see M. Lewis, The Big Short) saw enough to profit hugely.

Other material in Siegel’s 378 pages adequately and sensibly covers major areas of historical interest (the primary stock indices, money, monetary policy and the gold standard), analyzes other financial and economic crises, surveys current issues (the business cycle, market responses to current events) and concerns (the developed world’s retirement “crisis”, on which he is quite optimistic), and I could cavil here and there or suggest other specialized treatments. But what he has to say on these topics is sufficient (and his history of the S&P 500 is excellent) for firmly embedding the three points with which I began, which are points every investor should ponder long and hard.

But how many of us will profit from them? On p. 97 he mentions the allure of “safer” alternatives which do after all outperform stocks, over periods of one or two years, nearly 40% of the time. I don’t know that he sees how deep the pain goes for individuals watching dollars vaporize by the thousands, dollars which a bank account would at least have preserved and guaranteed. Nor, I think, does he see how hard it would be for asset managers to follow his principles when markets soar and “irrational exuberance" reigns triumphant; sticking to a long-term strategy is impossible when benchmark risk means your assets are marching out the door. Siegel’s work will most benefit those who know not just the concepts but themselves. It hurts to play from behind, alone, trusting the odds, trying to trust yourself. Long-term investment is a discipline less of intellect than of temperament and character. But the discipline of study and thought is still part of it, and Siegel’s history and mathematics keep me mindful of what the true odds are. In this and earlier editions, Stocks for the Long Run is one of just six books (cf. my review of M. Mauboussin More Than You Know) which have decisively shaped how I think about what I do.

36 of 36 people found the following review helpful.
Still a Classic, but Added some Garbage and Omitted some Great Stuff from the 3rd Edition
By Tom
As an experienced investor who has read over a hundred investment books, Stocks for the Long run has always been in my top 5. Eager for updated data and analysis, I read the new 5th edition, but sadly, it added some uninsightful reviews of the credit crisis and took out some really good stuff, including data on returns following high sentiment, fed cuts, and economic cycles. One of my favorite items omitted was about the justified PE on the nifty fifty and what growth rates justify stock stock prices. Still a great book, but I think the 3rd edition is much better.

50 of 54 people found the following review helpful.
Historical Investing Information for Quantitative Thinkers
By Donald Mitchell
Psychologically, almost every human being believes that he or she is potentially able to outperform every other human being. This optimism is a useful quality for spurring people on to strive for better results. When it comes to investing, it can lead to harmful results, however. Too much risk can lead to too little reward.
This book is the best summary of the historical data on investing. Some of the data go back to 1802.
Rather than summarize everything the book shows, let me focus in on a few key points that might slip past you. These are contrary to the conventional wisdom in some cases, and different from what you will hear on television. I suggest you pay careful heed.
(1) Diversification and historical data suggest that you should be sure to invest outside of the United States with part of your financial assets. Currently, for many people, this should be up to 25 percent of the total portfolio in international stocks. These stocks should be equally weighted between Europe, Asia, and emerging countries.
(2) Written in 1997 for this edition when the Dow was 7400, nothing in the book justifies a Dow of 11,000. If you look at the long-term chart of stock-price multiples, there has been a severe downdraft after the two other times when multiples expanded so much. This suggests caution.
(3) Small cap value stocks provided superior returns historically, and those returns were highly concentrated in January of each year. This suggests a potential trading strategy opportunity of owning those stocks in January and shifting into other stocks at the end of January, depending on the 200 day moving average trends.
(4) Almost no professional investors keep up with the market averages over 10 years. Although he doesn't express it, individual investors tend to do worse. Why will it be different for you over the next 10 years? Therein lies the case for index funds and the Dow 10 strategy (buy the 10 highest yielding Dow Industrial stocks each January).
(5) The main cause of more rapid stock price growth in the last 30 years was the ending of the gold standard. Central banks pump up the money supply after gold is taken away, which expands multiples. Over time, this also drives up inflation, which is brutal on stock-price multiples. Alan Greenspan is very aggressive in building up the money supply, even when he is raising interest rates. All of that money eventually causes prices to rise. This will probably happen in this country as the growth in the baby boom population reaching 45 slows. Companies eventually overcome inflation, but the near-term losses can be large. Witness the fact that many Internet stocks are down over 80 percent in the last year.
Whether you agree with these perspectives or not, you should be aware of them. Professor Siegel has done us a service by making the information available. On the other hand, this book needs a third edition to update the data to reflect on the current multiples.
If you are not a quantitative thinker, you will not like this book. Just read my comments and think about them.
If you are a quantitative thinker, you will get many new and important perspectives from this work which suggests that it's not a random walk after all.
Good luck with your investing. Before taking any large risks, be sure you know what the risks are and think through how you will handle them if they turn out to be irresistible forces pushing you in the wrong direction.

See all 120 customer reviews...

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Kamis, 05 Juli 2012

[L615.Ebook] Ebook Good Morning - Dzien Dobry: A Bilingual English Polish Children's Book (Polish Edition), by Weronika Stepien

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Good Morning - Dzien Dobry: A Bilingual English Polish Children's Book (Polish Edition), by Weronika Stepien

Follow a little boy as he says good morning to his family. Filled with vivid and colourful illustrations, this bilingual storybook is sure to please.

  • Sales Rank: #750735 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-03-16
  • Original language: Polish
  • Dimensions: 8.50" h x .6" w x 8.50" l,
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 24 pages

About the Author
Weronika Stepien is a Polish-American interdisciplinary artist who lives with her husband and daughter in Vancouver, Canada.

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Anna Glowacki
The illustrations are beautiful. Very cute book!

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Wonderful present
By Elisabeth Bolduc
This was a wonderful 1st birthday present for twins whose mother is a native Polish speaker here in the US and who wishes her children to learn Polish.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
One Star
By Amazon Customer
Horrible illustrations for a child

See all 3 customer reviews...

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